Month: October 2016

Trump is holding a wasting asset, the 2016 Republican Presidential nomination.  The longer he holds on to it, the less it’s worth.  Every time people hear him bragging about sexually assaulting women, the greater the debacle that awaits him.  He won’t just lose.  He’ll get crushed, destroyed by the most unlikable and distrusted woman in America.  He’s made a fortune selling his brand, but his name will be a joke, like the Edsel.  Who wants to be associated with the greatest loser in American political history?

It’s impossible to say when all this becomes clear to him, but it can’t be more than a week.  He’s down 5 today, and will be down ten or more in a few days.  Donations will dry up.  He’ll draw crowds to his rallies, but the numbers will diminish.  The longer he waits, the worse it will get.

Trump never wanted to be President.  He wanted to be like an elected king, who would supervise his Prime Minister, Mike Pence.  To salvage himself, his brand, and his family, he must give that dream up, and settle for something far less, a king maker.  He, and he alone, can elect Pence President.  His followers wouldn’t like it, but that’s the best he can do for them.  If they accept his instruction, and vote for Pence, Trump will be able to take credit for helping to elect one of the most consequential Presidents in our history.  He will have made a huge deposit into the favor bank of the President of the United States.   He will have an honorable place in American history.  And what is his alternative?

It will be up to Ivanka and the rest of the family to convince him to do it.  It has to be done this week, before the third debate on the 19th.  In the mean time, Mike and Karen Pence, as well as Kellyanne Conway, are on a tightrope.  The only way out of this mess is for Trump to withdraw, and throw his support to Pence.  It’s the only out.  So Pence must hold his tongue and keep a stiff upper lip.  I don’t envy him the task.  But it’s the last best hope of saving the country from the Clintons.  Bill and Hillary are career political criminals, and will do great damage to this country, damage that it will take a generation to overcome.  A lot of good Americans will suffer.  Even greater damage to our institutions will be inflicted.  We’d get through it, but no one knows for sure if all the damage they do can be repaired.  It’s a perilous time for constitutional conservatives.

I’ve met people like Trump, but never associated with them.  Guys who talk like he does are losers.  A man who brags about his success with women is despised by real men.  At least that’s the way I was raised, and it was the culture I grew up in.  Maybe it’s different in Manhattan.  But I don’t really think so.

Where I was raised, grabbing women in the crotch is dangerous.  Women have husbands, and fathers, and brothers, and boy friends, and if you try that on the wrong woman you’re going to get your teeth kicked in.  If anybody ever did something like that to Babbie I’d beat him to within an inch of his life.  Things are different in Trump’s world, I guess.

Murkowski’s out with a phony Ivan Moore poll, showing her way up.  It’s not really a “poll”, more like a piece of campaign propaganda.  I won’t get into it, but she’s in trouble, and she knows it.  The Trump debacle hurts Joe Miller’s chances, but he wasn’t relying on Trump.  That was icing on the cake.  The Senate race in Alaska will be the most interesting in the country.

They’re in celebration mode in the Hive tonight.  It looks like they’ve pulled it off.  Electing Hillary Clinton President in 2016 was a tall order, but they were up to it.   They couldn’t have done it without Trump.  He was their indispensable man, and still is.  But if he’s smart enough to realize he’s being played, he can turn the tables on them, endorse Pence, and walk away a winner.

He’s smart, but is he that smart?

This wasn’t exactly the best day to put out a serious piece of political analysis, but this is up today at American Thinker.

Come back kid vs.the most liberal Republican in the Senate.

No one can out Trump back together again.  It’s over, and the sooner he realizes that, the better for all concerned.   I’m following Sen. Kelly Ayotte’s lead, and will write in Pence for President.  It’s the only honorable, and sensible, thing to do.  I remember the contempt I felt for people who excused Bill Clinton’s behavior with women.  Anyone who still stands by Trump deserves the same scorn.

Mike Pence and Kellyanne Conway are in a tricky situation.  Ideally, Trump will soon recognize his candidacy is over, and advise the RNC that he declines to continue as the Republican candidate.  Party Rules would allow the Committee to select a replacement, which would naturally be Pence.  If that happened, Pence would win the Presidency, and Trump would have salvaged something from the mess he’s created.  But it needs to happen soon, and if it doesn’t Pence and Conway should both step down, and leave this buffoon on his own.

History will not be kind to Trump, and his whole brand.  There isn’t really any historical parallel.  His name will be up there with people like Aaron Burr, James Buchanan and Herbert Hoover.  And who wants to stay in a hotel with this sexual criminal’s name on it?  How are bookings going for that new Trump hotel in D.C.?   Any cancellations?

I think back to that crowd of 4,000 people who turned out to see him in Reno last Wednesday.  They were the truest of true believers.  A lot of them will continue to believe.  But not all.  They were just regular Americans, husbands and wives, fathers and mothers, who want the best for their children and country.   They weren’t fanatics, they were patriots.  Many of them were Christians, who take their faith seriously.  How can they continue to associate themselves with this repulsive man?

I’m sure Pence and Trump will be talking with one another today.  Until the fruits of that conversation are known, everything is up in the air.  Except Trump’s candidacy.  That lies in ashes.

A while back I tried to draw a distinction between Bill Clinton, sexual criminal, and Donald Trump, a garden variety sexist pig.  I was wrong.  Grabbing women in the crotch is a sexual assault, as defined in the law.  Both Clinton and Trump are sexual predators.  Apparently they like to compare notes on their sexual exploits while enjoying a round of golf.  There is nothing to choose between them.

Because of personal flaws in my character, I have fantasized about punching Bill Clinton out, and mocking his cowardice.  Now I feel the same way about Trump.  He’s a little bigger than Clinton, and might not go down as easy, but in fact he’s a flabby pussy of a man, and he’d just go down a little harder.

It’s over for Trump, whether he realizes it or not.  Nothing he can do or say, and no black swan, can save him.  The sooner he gets out, the better for all concerned, including his family.  How does Ivanka feel about her father now?   He’s a pathetic excuse for a man, and the faster he gets off the stage the better for all concerned.

He’s said his campaign isn’t really about him, and a vote for Trump is really a vote for yourself.  But I’m not a sexual deviant, and Trump is, and he’s not me.  Has his whole campaign been an exercise in narcissism, or does he want to make America great again?  We’ll all find out soon enough.

The Governor of Montana, Steve Bullock, has chosen personal pleasure over his duties as a father, husband, and public official.  At the age of 50 he’s found a new love in his life, Meg O’Leary, the Director of the Montana Department of Commerce.  As a special treat, he used a State of Montana airplane to go to a Paul McCartney concert with her.    He’s been to Puerto Rico and the Kentucky Derby with his new flame.  The voters of Montana have been shielded from this disturbing relationship by Montana media, though it’s found it’s way into some blogs.

Less than a year ago, the Helena Independent Record hired a rising star in journalism, James DeHaven, away from the Las Vegas Review-Journal.  He was quite a catch for a small paper like the Helena IR.  But he quit last week, and has now moved on to the San Diego Union-Tribune.  He hasn’t publicly stated his reasons for leaving, but it was obviously related to the fact that his editors refused to print the story of the Bullock sex scandal that he had uncovered.

The story presumably has details on the retaliation against State of Montana employees who have objected to these arrangements.  There is some evidence that Montana Lieutenant Governor Angela McLean caught the Governor in flagrante, and that this was the reason for her sudden resignation from office.

The details of this sordid affair are in the blog, Republican Uprising, which is a creation of Montana State Representative Matthew Monforton of Bozeman.   Once the national media start looking into this story, the party’s over for Mr. Bullock.  I suspect that will happen next week.  Stay tuned.

Unless I’m completely off base, there should be some action in the Alaska Senate race next week.  My analysis of this race should be up at American Thinker tomorrow.  This race is Joe Miller’s to lose.  I plan on meeting him for the first time on election night in Anchorage.  I hope to be able to see Don Young as well.  He’s remarried, very happily, and apparently as full of spit and vinegar as he’s always been.  They’re going to have to carry him out of the House of Representatives on a stretcher.  He does love his pork, but he’s also a good conservative, and always has been.  It’s been years since I’ve seen him.

The fly in this ointment is Donald Trump, and his awful numbers with women  voters.  They think he’s a sexist pig, and a bully.  I don’t know what he can do to change their minds.  He’s put himself in a pickle.