Maryland could rescind, and another state’s Resolution might not hold up, leaving us with 22. I strongly believe we’ll get at least Wisconsin, Kentucky, South Carolina, North Dakota, Montana and Wyoming, giving us 28 next year. That means we would get Arizona, Oklahoma, Utah, South Dakota and Idaho (no mean feat) and still be one short.
Maine may be our best bet. It went Republican in 2010, and I haven’t been able to find a reason it might not do so again this year. Next best bet is Oregon. The R candidate for Senate is likely to energize the entire Republican party of Oregon. The Senate looks very doable, and with the embarrassment of Cover Oregon, the House could fall as well. I had read somewhere on the internet that Washington went R in 2010, but that was wrong. 24 year Senate veteran Pam Roach called this morning and set me straight. She got the pledge letter and wanted to talk about it. I was impressed with her. She says she’ll run for Congress in two years, and I’ll bet she could win. She also said the Washington House Republicans are pretty dysfunctional, and are very much a long shot to win a majority. Minnesota is off the radar, because, like AZ and SC, state senators only run in Presidential years.
So without Maine or Oregon this, conceivably, would not get done until after the 2016 election. But that would in no way mean that it could not be an issue that defines the 2016 election. If we’re at 32 or 33 it would be close enough to be a big story. Close enough that Republican Presidential candidates, and the eventual nominee, would embrace and fund this thing.
reaganproject.blog 