Some have suggested that no fundamental reform could be achieved through Article V because 38 states are needed to ratify an amendment, and there are too many blue states. What they don’t appreciate is that at the state legislative level, just as in the U.S. House of Representatives, Republicans have a huge advantage.
It’s because of “clustering.” In WA, MN, and ME Republicans won legislative control in the wave election of 2010, and, in my opinion are likely to win them again in 2014. In Washington, Democrats are clustered in Seattle, in Minnesota in the Twin Cities, in Maine the southern coastal region. Outside these areas, Republicans are spread out over the whole state, where a majority of the state legislative districts are located. The same is true in Oregon, with the Democrats in Portland. Next year we only need to win two state Senate seats there, and five in the House. Even in deep blue Delaware we only need three Senate, seven House.
So when you’re counting to get to the thirteen needed to block an amendment, what you would ordinarily think of as blue states aren’t really blue in the state legislatures. And that’s where the ratification vote will take place.
reaganproject.blog 